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Political, Economic and
Social Development in Nepal in the Year 2008
Overview
Nepal's elections for the Constituent Assembly
(CA) held on April 10 chose 601-members - 575 are elected and
26are appointed by the cabinet. The CPN (Maoist) won overwhelming
victory in the election but it falls short of two-third majority
to form a single party government. The CA election allowed substantive
representation of women, ethnic and indigenous groups, Dalits
(oppressed caste), Madhesis (people of southern flatland) and
remote region. The new parliament abolished over two-century
old monarchy and declared the country federal democratic republic
on May 28. On June 11, King Gyanendra vacated the Royal Palace
to respect the CA verdict and the government gave him and his
family Nagarjun palace and security.
The consensus among major parties glued by Comprehensive Peace
Agreement (CPA), however, collapsed as major decisions are made
by simple majority. The Nepali Congress (NC), Communist Party
of Nepal-Unified Marxist-Leninist (CPN-UML) and Madhesi Jana
Adhikar Forum (MJAF) formed a new coalition to elect President
Dr. Ram Baran Yadav (NC), Vice-President Permanand Jha (MJAF)
and Chairman of CA (CPN-UML) Subas Nembang. On July 19 the CPN-UML
and MJAF, however, shifted their alliance to elect CPN (Maoist)
chairman, Puspa K. Dahal as Prime Minister thus ending four-month
long deadlock in power transfer. On August 31 the CPN (Maoist)
finalized the formation of 24-member cabinet of six-party alliance-CPN-UML,
MJAF, Sadbhavana Party, CPN (United) and People's Front Nepal
(PFN). The NC, unable to create anti-Maoist coalition, stayed
in opposition.
The security, peace and development are marred by a lack of
coherent vision and conflicting orientations. The ruling parties
led by CPN (Maoist) is seeking integration of its combatants
into Nepal Army (NA), relief measures, identification of disappeared
persons and social transformation through "republic-patriotic
alliance." The NC and its allies are struggling to forge
a "broader democratic alliance" with non-Maoist parties
and exerting pressure on CPN (Maoist) to implement nine-point
deal, such as return of seized property to rightful owners,
dissolve para-military structure of its Young Communist League
(YCL), engage other parties in the peace process, deploy only
government security to Maoist ministers and commit to parliamentary
democracy. As per recently signed six-point accord with NC,
the CPN (Maoist) agreed to fulfill them within March 2009. The
subsidiary identities are engaged in distributional struggle
and aligning across the party lines for group interest. Due
to security vacuum, 33 armed groups are engaged in various activities--separatism,
extortion, killing and even some are engaged in a dialogue with
three-member government's team.
Factionalism in each political party has sapped the political
will of government to perform governance functions, bridge the
development gap and deliver essential services to the needy.
The private sector and civil society ties are marked by strikes
which has made the nation a worst place for media freedom, foreign
direct investment and economic activities. The flurry of diplomatic
activities in Nepal demonstrates its geopolitical importance
but this has also posed a security dilemma to both neighbors-India
and China. Cooperation of international community for post-conflict
stabilization, economic growth, constitution-making and peace
building is important for Nepal's stable democratic future.
Political Development
The year 2008 remained highly unstable for
Nepal despite important political developments, such as understanding
between the leaders about the demands of Madhesi political parties
on February 28, successful holding of CA elections on April
10, transformation of Nepal into federal democratic republic
on May 28, formation of a new government on August 31 and establishment
of 14 CA committees-1 constitutional panel, 10 thematic and
three procedural ones-- to draft new constitution.
The rise of CPN (Maoist) as the biggest party by garnering
220 out of 575 seats in the CA election provided it an incentive
to transform its revolutionary ideology, structure and goal
into a mass-based competitive party. The decline of old parties--
NC and CPN-UML who scored 110 and 103 respectively also inspired
them to reform their party structures by making them inclusive
of social diversity. By scoring 42 out of 116 allocated for
Tarai, the southern flatland, CPN (Maoist) also posed a challenge
to Tarai-based regional parties. Social representation into
CA has substantially increased: women captured 33.22 % of total
seats, Dalits, 8.17 %, ethnic and indigenous communities 33.39
%, Madhesis 34.09 % and backward regions 3.83 % and other caste
groups 33.91 %. Due to mixed nature of election system 25 parties
have been elected with none of them commanding two-third majority
to form single party government.
Accepting the CA's Verdict, on June 11 ex-King Gyanendra Shah
left Narayanhiti Palace after delivering touching speech to
the Nepali people and pledged to remain fully dedicated to the
independence and territorial integrity of the nation. The government
gave the ex-King Gyanendra Nagarjun palace and his family members
with adequate security.
The consensus politics among major parties glued by peace accord,
however, collapsed as they made Fifth Amendment of the interim
constitution on July 13 to take major decisions by majority
vote. The three parties-NC, CPN-UML and MJAF formed a new coalition
to elect President Dr. Ram Baran Yadav, Vice-President Permanand
Jha and Chairman of CA Subas Nembang. But, on July 19 the CPN-UML
and MJAF shifted their alliance to CPN (Maoist) to elect Puspa
Kamal Dahal the new Prime Minister thus ending four-month long
stalemate in power transfer from NC President G. P. Koirala.
On August 31 the CPN (Maoist) finalized the formation of 24-member
cabinet of six-party alliance-CPN-UML, MJAF, Sadbhavana Party,
CPN (United) and People's Front Nepal (PFN).
As Koiral's desire to become the first president dampened NC
bargained for important portfolios including defense ministry.
Unable to get, it decided to stay in opposition, floated the
idea of creating "broader democratic alliance" with
traditional parties to deter authoritarianism, began public
awareness campaign in the districts and blocked the parliamentary
session to get its nine-point accord signed with CPN (Maoist)
on November 11 fulfilled. The latter has assured to fulfill
them within March 2009. Political deadlock also marred the establishment
of several commissions stipulated in the CPA, such as Truth
and Reconciliation Commission, State Restructuring Commission,
Commission on Disappeared Persons, High Level Peace Commission
etc. There is a clear divide between three major coalition partners
in government as each threatens to quit when finds deceived
in sharing the spoils. The implementation of CA's mandate-writing
an inclusive constitution, state restructuring along federal
lines, sustainable peace and holding next general election-seems
Achilles heel as crisis of confidence continues to grip the
parties.
On November 14, the CA unanimously endorsed both the CA Regulations
and Legislative-Parliament Regulations. Despite the formation
of 14 CA committees their chairmen have not been elected so
far to start off the statute-drafting process and make it ready
for promulgation by May 2010. As political parties are positional
than accommodative on federalism it will likely to evoke a spasm
of emotion. The constitution pledges autonomy for all future
provinces. The CPN (Maoist) sketched 11 federal and two sub-states
on the basis of ethnic composition, geographical contiguity,
language base and ethnic viability. NC has drawn a sketch of
7 federal states based on territoriality and CPN-UML has drawn
15 on the basis of territory, caste, language and ethnicity.
The TMLP, Sadbhavana Party and MJAF have proposed single Tarai
province with several autonomous units governing it while the
Tharus opposed this. Jana Morcha Nepal has opposed the concept
of federalism and preferred unitary state with substantial devolution
of power.
The government has requested the UN for extension of the United
Nations Mission in Nepal (UNMIN)'s term for six months starting
from January 23, 2009 so as to engage it in the management of
arms and armies. Nepal Army (NA) has ruled out the possibility
of inducting the 19,602 Maoist combatants into NA without meeting
recruitment standards. Non-Maoist parties too fear the consequence
of the integration of politically indoctrinated Maoists into
NA. The Army Integration Special Committee (AISC) with two representatives
from major parties which is expected to facilitate this process
is yet to take a complete shape. The NA has recently refused
to abide by the order of Defense Minister R. B Thapa to stop
filling the vacant posts. UNMIN opposed the recruitment of armies
by CPN (Maoist) and NA as a breach of the peace agreement. The
NA asserted its move as a "legitimate to fill the vacant
posts." Experts believe that neither Maoists nor NC is
interested in army integration because it is not the best alternative,
but only a bargaining tool for political gain. Stable peace
requires the integration of combatants in productive life, compensation
to victims, enabling the return of displaced persons to their
homes and end of impunity.
Key Political Actors and Their Motivations
The transition phase of political life in Nepal is still marked
by tension thus depriving the citizens of legitimate governance.
First, the CPA was not sufficiently broad-based as it evoked
the popular mobilization of women, Dalits, ethnic groups and
Madhesis against both interim constitution and the CPA. Second,
this mobilization has also eroded the social base of old parties,
such as NC, CPN-UML, Rastriya Prajatantra Party (RPP), Rastriya
Janashakti Party (RJP) and Nepal Sadbhvabna Party (NSP), facilitated
the emergence of regional parties, such MJAF, Tarai-Madhesh
Loktantrik Party (TMLP) and Sadbhavabana Party and renewed the
discourse about political party transformation to make their
district, regional and central political structures inclusive,
democratic and program-oriented. Fearing the expansion of political
space of the leftists, Chairman of RPP-Nepal Kamal Thapa demanded
space for the king. He said, "CPN (Maoist), NC and CPN-UML
are acting under grand design of India to weaken nationalism
by overthrowing monarchy, issuing citizenship on the basis of
birth, sudden emergence of the demand for single Madhesh state
with the right to self-determination, adoption of secularism
and increased foreign intervention."
The power balance dominated by CPN (Maoist) is trying to reshape
the agenda of constitution-making by enlisting CPN-UML leader
Madhav K. Nepal into the chair of Constitutional Panel of CA
and articulating the restructuring of judiciary, public administration
and security agencies. The NC and traditional parties fear the
compromise of judicial independence, politicization of public
administration and replacement of Indian priests of Pashupatinath
Temple by Nepalese ones. The security dilemma continues to militarize
politics as most of parties and social groups are raising their
own militant groups and strained efforts towards reconciliation.
The condition of statelessness was reflected on June 22 when
over 200 Armed Police Force (APF) of Banke revolted against
poor ration quality and senior official's ill-treatment. On
June 23 the rebelling armed forces reached an agreement with
the government and formed a nine-member team to listen their
grievances and corruption. Similar event that took place in
Parvat district, however, went unnoticed. The civil-military
relations have yet to improve to strengthen the outreach of
state in society and prevent political system's vulnerability
to regular disruptions.
Constitutional Actors
Among the constitutional actors there is a lack of coherence.
The governmental actors composed of six ruling parties led by
CPN (Maoist) reflect widely divergent political orientations.
This has forced the Prime Minister Dahal to admit that his government
could not perform as expected due to "non-cooperative attitude
of some ruling parties, NC, bureaucracy and foreign forces."
Home Minister Bam Dev Gautam too revealed non-cooperation from
his own party-CPN-UML in discharging his institutional duties
and blamed Maoist affiliated YCL and CPN-UML's Youth Force for
creating obstacles in "government's effort to create peace
and security in the country." Political division at the
center has spoiled effective governance to maintain code of
conduct among the coalition partners and steer along common
minimum programs.
The CPN (Maoist) has barely managed the friction of government
leaders with party leader Kiran Baidya after the coinage of
new term "Federal, Democratic People's Republic."
On October 13 Prime Minister Dahal said that a federal democratic
republic is his party's transitional objective and its long-term
goal is to go for a people's republic. He said, "We will
go for a new model of democracy which secures the rights of
farmers, workers and marginalized people" and claimed that
Maoist tag will be removed during unification program with other
communist factions. The CPN-UML also stated that it will discuss
about the removal of Marxist-Leninist tag in the forthcoming
convention. Secretary-General of CPN-UML J.N. Khanal on September
21 said, "The British model parliamentary system has become
outmoded. We have to leave that outdated model in the new political
context." Another leader M. K.Nepal uttered to end the
"remnants of feudalism and unfair practices with the help
of Marxism."
While one section of CPN-UML competes to lead the government
and opposes Maoist remarks of "people's revolt" against
bureaucratic and feudal inertia through "republic-patriotic
front," the MJAF and Sadbhavana Parties oppose Maoist determination
to redistributive land reforms and integration of combatants
into NA and insist on "One Madhesh, One Pradesh."
The TMLP's threat to begin agitation by January 2009 in order
to get its 13-point demand including a single Madhesh fulfilled
is making difficult for Madhesi parties to stay in coalition
government as all left parties oppose the demand of single Madhesh
identity. The infeasibility of collective action has provided
continuity to dysfunctional institutions and eroded the efficiency
of governance to govern. The opposition parties led by NC are
struggling to form an anti-Maoist "democratic alliance"
with traditional parties and demanded the CPN (Maoist) to fulfill
the nine-point agreement. A host of other small parliamentary
parties outside the government are fighting for a legitimate
space and opposing the amount of direct violence unleashed by
the competition of youth wings of dominant parties and its consequence
for reconciliation and social peace. Lack of inner party democracy,
deeply rooted factionalism and personalized leadership have
sapped the sociability of leaders to promote common interest
by institutional means and carefully balance inter and intra-party
rifts. Fear of topple-down from within the coalition has made
the government survival-oriented than innovative as far as public
demands of common good are concerned. The propensity of constitutional
actors to inspire political change in society through extra-constitutional
agitation has undermined the rule of law and opened incentives
for anti-social forces to challenge its legitimacy by similar
means.
Free Riders
A growing public fear that fractious leaders is jeopardizing
Nepal's future has been well-proven by the existence of unstable
party politics, opportunism and free- riding making long-term
cooperation unpredictable. The tendency of a section of CPN
(Maoist), CPN-UML and MJAF parties to occupy the space of both
government and opposition and get more benefits through free-ride
than their actual representative strength has been facilitated
by a lack of any party mustering two-thirds majority in the
CA to form effective government. The move of major parties from
consensus to competitive politics has offered the medium and
small parties an opportunity to maneuver in the self-interested
game of politics and often switch sides between the two central
poles-CPN (Maoist) and NC depending on the calculated utility
of defection. It has weakened the unified will of central state
to create public security and carry out social and economic
development programs. Twenty small parties who won seats only
through proportional representation system have formed a coalition
to fight "hegemony, dictatorship and discrimination of
big parties," and asked to involve them in the constitution
drafting process. The central poles of power have risked the
polarization of Nepalese politics into the left and the right
with the potential to spark confrontation and reciprocal vulnerability
to regional and international geopolitics. Strengthening democratic
oversight and human rights-based code of conduct for political
cadres are essential elements to overcome democratic deficit,
impunity and incapacity of politics to produce good governance.
Social Movement Actors
Irresolution of many of legitimate grievances in Nepal has become
the major drivers of social movement and provided a new rights-based
orientation to politics. Twenty out of 101 ethnic groups who
are left out from CA are demanding their participation. The
distributional struggle of social movement actors, such as Dalits,
women, trade union, indigenous people and ethnic groups have
made the political actors of Nepal sensitive to the demands
of public and even adopt populist policies beyond the capacity
of state to fulfill. Their propensity for autonomy and assertiveness
has made Nepal's politics aspiration-fuelled. Assertion of subsidiary
identity contest rooted on class, caste, ethnicity and territoriality
of Tarai-hill divide marks the decline of the meaning of citizenship
in Nepal and a sense of loyalty to the state. Non-implementation
of agreements with several groups, such as Nepal Federation
of Indigenous Nationalities (NEFIN), Federal Republic National
Front (FRNF) and Federal Limbuwan State Council (FLSC) Sanjuhang
Palunga, TMLP which focused, inter alia, on complete federal
autonomous system of governance based on the historical background,
language, geography, region and economic resources and viability
has left them frustrated. Democratic political system naturally
allows space for the voice and visibility of subsidiary identities.
But, it has to limit their ability to overwhelm national interests
and institutions.
Armed Groups
The concentration of mainstream leaders in Kathmandu has caused
security and public order deficit in Tarai and eastern hills
and incubated 33 armed groups of various hues acting as extra-constitutional
forces. They are engaged in open predation, killing, extortion,
revenge and strike and challenging the writ of state. They have
the advantage of a sanctuary in the lawless tribal areas across
India and sympathy of Madhesh-based parties. Despite the engagement
of government's three-member talk team led by Minister for Reconstruction
and Peace Janardan Sharma, many of these groups continue to
act as spoilers of security and peace and eroding the nation's
development space. This year alone these groups killed 17 business
persons. The transition from violent past to a civic culture
requires the restoration of reason of state, entrenchment of
human rights, transitional justice and enforcement of law and
order. Inter-party consultation for broader support for the
talks and engagement of Madhesi parties are keys to the solution
of this problem.
State of Governance
The annual report of the Supreme Court (SC) revealed, "The
judiciary has not been as independent, competent and effective
as it should be as per the principle of separation of power
and universally-accepted values." The judiciary's image
is marred by corruption, inconsistent decisions and failure
to stop constitutional breakdown. The National Human Rights
Commission expressed dissatisfaction over non-implementation
of 75 % of its directives to the government. It made the CPN
(Maoist) responsible for holding back information on the 299
disappeared persons and the NA for personal details of 671 disappeared,
expressed concern over the worsening human rights situation
in the Tarai due to ongoing violence by non-state armed groups,
called the government to end impunity and asked political parties
not to provide "political protection to criminals."
The Office of the Auditor General's annual report showed $12.46m
government spending unaccounted for. On November 19 the Commission
for the Investigation of Abuse of Authority, stated that among
its 180 directives to the government, 143 were never implemented
while 37 are still under consideration in the court. It also
directed the government to prepare a Technical Assessment Regulation
in order to assess various development projects. Nepal ranks
121 positions in the Transparency International Corruption Perception
Index.
Economic Development
Economic Review
Nepal is one of the poorest countries in the word. Its per capita
gross domestic product is US$ 457, the human poverty index value
is 38.1 and power purchasing parity is $1 day. The human poverty
index puts Nepal 84th among 108 developing countries. Nepal's
population is 29m with a growth of 2.09% while GDP growth rate
stands at 2.3%. It ranks 143rd out of 177 countries in Human
Development Report 2008. The Human Development Index stands
at 0.534, life expectancy at birth is 60.94 years (male 61.12:
female 60.75) and adult literacy stands at 51.4% (62.7% for
male: 34.9% female). Agriculture provides a livelihood for three-fourths
of the population and accounts for 38% of GDP. The World Food
Program has identified Nepal as "hunger hotspots"
as 42 out of 75 districts are food deficient, while over one-third
of districts fall below the minimum food security supplies.
Tax contributes only 12% to GDP.
Due to the decline of agricultural production
from 1.1% to 0.7%, Food and Agriculture Organization of the
UN has appealed for $1 9.80m for food security. Flood and drought
damaged this year's crop production. Industrial strike, power
cut for 12 hours a day and security concerns relating to political
activities have led to a decrease in industrial production.
Prospects for foreign investment except in hydropower and tourism
sectors remain poor because of the small size of the economy,
its technological backwardness and regular civil strife. Due
to peace accord, tourism sector has indicated slight improvement
as the total number of visitors reached 374,661. Inflow of remittance
from Nepali workers stands over $ 1.5b which helped to reduce
poverty from 42% in 1996 to 31% now. But, the growing inequality
requires distributive justice to prevent conflict. The rate
of savings is 11 % of GDP, which means increasing dependence
on foreign aid for economic growth. The global financial crisis
will further reduce the prospect for foreign employment, FDI
and foreign aid. The Inflation has reached to 14.5 %.
Exports witnessed a rise of 27.1 % during
the first three months of the current fiscal year against 4.3
% rise in the last year. Exports to India saw growth by 10.1
% against 0.6 % compared to last year. Exports to third countries
grew by 58.3 %. The imports from India rose by 19.3 %. Nepal's
trade deficit with India is in tune of $1409.39m. The Nepal-China
trade currently stands at $4,010m. While China sells goods worth
about $386m, Nepal exports goods worth of $15m only. The volume
of imports from other countries rose to 48.5 % compared to just
12.1 % in the last year. Likewise, the balance of payment recorded
a surplus of $ 9.87m in the first quarter of this fiscal year
while foreign exchange reserves stood at $3b in mid-October,
which is adequate for financing imports for 10 months. Industrial
strikes have scared foreign direct investment and even the Non-Resident
Nepalese to establish a $10m fund they had promised.
Nepal's annual budget stands at $3025.64m; $1653.85m are borne
by current source of revenue, $833.33m by foreign grant and
$231.66m by foreign loan. The net budget deficit of about $600m
will be financed by domestic borrowing. The current budget wants
to "Make Our Village Better and Beautiful," by enhanced
poverty alleviation, road construction, income generation and
livelihood training in 20 districts. Its main priorities are
constitution making, peace process, socio-economic transformation,
role of private, public and cooperative sectors in economic
progress and special plans for Karnali region. The government's
long-term plan spells: electricity at every household in 10
years by generating 10,000MW electricity; clean drinking water
for all in five years; road in all district headquarters in
2 years; increment in allowance and grants to local bodies;
fast track road from capital to Tarai; survey for electric railway
from Tibet to Chitwan via Kathmandu, Pokhara and Lumbini and
from east to west and formation of nine various commissions
on labor, truth and reconciliation, disappeared persons, land
reform, landless squatters, state restructuring, administrative
restructuring and Muslim.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) pledged a grant of $106.3m
for Nepal for the execution of Governance Support program until
1012, $8m for education sector, $18.1m to employer's council
and $2.18m grant for IT development. The ADB, British DFID and
World Bank pledged $1.50b for 2009-2011 for development. The
UK provided $ 2.075m for flood-affected people, 20m pounds for
development activities for the next two years, 102m pounds for
peace fund, $875.000 to combat the climate change, $14m aid
for peace and human rights and $55m for four years to connect
all of rural areas by roads. The US development aid stands at
$42m, food aid $ 7.5 m and flood relief $1.3m. The Swiss aid
is $27m. Norway provided $4.875m to implement Integrated Pest
Management Program, South Korea a loan of $45m for the execution
of 30-MW Chamiliya hydro-power project. The EU provided Euro
120m for the period of 2007-2013 to be spent in education, peace
building, trade facilitation and capacity building and Euro
4.5m to flood victims. China provided $15m development assistance
and $0.3m relief aid while Nepal asked for $200 soft loan.
On December 15 the 70-MW Mid-Marsyangdi Hydro-electricity project
has began its operation. Germany bore 85 % of the cost. The
German government has committed Euro 36.5m grant to Nepal for
the coming two years to be spend in health, local governance,
civil society, renewable energy and peace process. It provided
UNICEF $ 0.64m to support children associated with armed forces,
euro 11m for relief aid to flood victim and a grant of $1.7m
for public-private partnership.
The UN provided $10m grant from the UN Peace Building Fund,
UNDP $98.34m for development and $1.3m to combat climate change,
UNICEF $68, 214,000m and UNFPA $28m for development. India provided
$ 5.14m aid to various projects. It announced a relief assistance
of $4.29m to flood victims and $2738.25m credit for fuel supply.
Japan agreed to cancel debt of $107m and provided a grant of
$ 2.60m for the improvement of Kathmndu-Bhaktapur road. The
International Development Association has agreed to offer a
grant of $ 25.28m for development. The World Bank approved a
grant of $127m to support the peace process, primary health
services in villages and improve rural water supply and sanitation.
It gave Nepal $4.367m to pay Maoist PLA $576 each and families
of those killed during insurgency $1,439 for each death.
Reform Initiatives
Addressing the proxy and root causes of conflict requires making
the public institutions transparent, responsive and effective.
On February 3 the government has prepared a draft of new Foreign
Aid Policy which seeks mobilizing foreign assistance to address
post-conflict development challenges through aid harmonization
and proper utilization in social inclusion, equity, peace and
reconstruction. It tries to build a system for monitoring aid
information, mutual accountability and transparency.
On April 3 the government formed a Peace and Conflict Management
Committee under the co-convenorship of D. N. Dhungana and P.
R. Tuladher to assist the government in the peace process and
conflict management in order to attain lasting peace and conduct
the CA election. On October 16, the political committee under
the cabinet headed by Prime Minister decided to form 25-member
peace committee in all 75 districts with a view to restoring
peace and social harmony. On December 11 the CA amended the
interim constitution sixth-time to allow those who reached the
age of 18 by the end of April 12.
On November 19, the cabinet formed a nine-member Commission
on Administration Reform and Restructuring under the coordination
of Minister for General Administration Pampha Bhusal to recommend
on an overall restructure of the administration. On December
10 the government formed a seven-member High Level Scientific
Land Reforms Commission under the chairmanship of Haribol Gajurel.
But, the Law Minister Deb Gurung's remarks on restructuring
of judiciary for the political appointment of judges have raised
serious concern. The Judicial Council member Motikaji Sthapit
refused to resign as per Maoist pressure so that laws are amended
governing the appointment of judges.
Social Development
Delivery of basic services especially food,
medicine, fuel and educational materials in remote areas is
not adequate. The post-conflict reconciliation efforts have
yet to begin relief support to victimized women, disabled and
children. Nepal's total fertility rate is 3.91 children while
infant mortality rate is 62 deaths for 1000 live birth. The
maternal mortality ratio stands at 530 per 100,000 births. About
0.5 % of people are suffering from HIV/AIDs. Insufficient food
and poor health facilities in rural and remote areas have caused
malnutrition and high mortality. Due to low social consciousness
and poor law enforcing mechanism over 7,000 girls are annually
trafficked to India and the Gulf region for prostitution, slavery
and bonded labor, nearly 50 % of them are minors. The government
revealed that 4,098 children were lost in 20 months.
Unemployment rate in Nepal is as high as 42%. Each year over
300,000 youth enter Nepal's shrinking labor market. More than
90% of 11.12m workers are working in informal sector without
any social protection. The ratio of those hunting jobs abroad
rose to 10.9 % this year from the number of 204,775 last year.
In many countries they do not have any agency to protect their
labor rights but they bring over $1.5b remittance which has
give life to rural economy. On April 29 Nepal and Bahrain signed
a labor pact providing the Nepalese workers secure employment
opportunities.
Major trade Unions of Nepal, such as Nepal Trade Union Congress
(NTUC), General Federation of Nepalese Trade Unions (GEFONT)
and All Nepal Trade Union Confederation (ANTUC) have created
a Joint Trade Union Council (JTUC) of 8 confederations to work
for common interest such as organization of informal sector,
execution of core labor rights, democratization of unions, inclusion
of workers rights in the new constitution and economic policies.
On April 16 the SC ordered the government to promulgate act
pertaining to social security.
On November 30, the employers' organization and unions agreed
to new wage rates. The minimum monthly salary for unskilled
workers is US $ 57.50 --- $ 38.12 as basic salary and $ 19.38
as allowance. The minimum daily wage is $2.38. The semi-skilled
will get $58.13, skilled $59.50 and highly skilled $ 61.88.
The government formed a nine-member committee, headed by Ministry
of Peace and Reconstruction to implement the 13-point agreement
reached with Haliya Liberation Federation. Haliya is a form
of bonded labor practiced in far-western region of the country
and about 10,000 persons are under this system.
The flood of Koshi River cut Nepal's road connection to eastern
part of the country. Similarly, consumers in Kathmandu have
to face more than 12 hours power cuts each day. This is caused
by the collapse of transmission tower in eastern Tarai and low
level of water in Kulekhani hydro-project. Flood toll climbs
to 45 in far-western districts. The flood of Koshi River damaged
the dam, rendered 30,000 homeless, affected 1,000 villages,
killed 7,000 livestock and put 13 Village Development Committees
at high risk.
Gender
In Nepal, gender gap is high in public sphere,
especially in economy, administration, local government, political
parties and media. The discrimination against women affects
the entire life-cycle: sex-selective abortion before birth,
childhood death from the neglect of nutritious food and medicinal
care, dowry death after marriage, inadequate maternal health
care, trafficking, slavery and bonded labor abroad due to lack
of education and law enforcement, rape and torture in conflict
zone and social stigma attached to widowhood. But, due to national
and international efforts the gender gap is becoming narrower.
For example, the CA elected 197 women, 33.22 % of the total
seats. They mirror diverse ethnic cultures, tradition, group
and geography. Still, the composition of cabinet is skewed,
women represent only 17 %. Due to financial crunch National
Women's Commission's activities are confined to Kathmandu only.
On July 15, the SC ordered the government to reform a provision
regarding marital rape. It also allowed woman the right to abort
without husband's consent. Capacity building, re-socialization,
involvement of women in public sphere and peace building are
needed to bridge the gender gap through collective action.
Regional Cooperation
South Asia requires regional approach to find
out a way to reduce tensions and address long-standing problems
of instability. Anti-neighbor nationalism and cross-border terrorism
in South Asia have increased the cost of non-cooperation and
conflict. The 15th SAARC summit in Colombo, Sri Lanka (August
2-3) endorsed two agreements on South Asian Regional Standards
Organization to improve South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA)
and South Asian Development Fund with a capital of $ 207m. Afghanistan
has joined SAFTA. The regional leaders finalized recommendations
of Food Bank and Development Bank and welcomed Australia and
Myanmar for the observer status. The 16th summit will be held
in Maldives, in 2009.
On November 12, Prime Minister Dahal attended the second summit
of the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical
and Economic Cooperation (BIMST-EC) in New Delhi. During his
meeting with his Indian counterpart both sides discussed bilateral
cooperation on water resources, cross-border crime control,
climate change, etc. Nepal sought facilitation measures to boost
its sub-regional trade. Track II actors are active in building
confidence at Track I level for improved cooperation and mobilizing
public opinion in favor of deeper integration.
Foreign Affairs
Nepal saw flurry of diplomatic activities. Violation of diplomatic
protocol by some ambassadors prompted Foreign Affairs Minister
Upendra Yadav to advise them to take permission from his ministry
before meeting the Prime Minister and political leaders. During
his visit to India (September 14-18) Prime Minister Dahal discussed
the reconstruction of the breached embankment along Koshi river,
review of all bilateral treaties, border dispute and expediting
the work of Pancheshwor hydo-power project. India agreed to
review the treaties. India's Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee
during his visit to Nepal expressed his support to Nepal's efforts
to eradicate poverty and expedite the peace process.
The Chinese Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs He Yafei
suggested Nepal to seek a suitable development path. China told
Nepal to halt Everest trip till May due to the fear of Tibetans
disrupting its plan to carry the Olympic torch up to Everest's
summit and urged it to check on "Tibetan illegal political
activities, fuelled by "foreign forces." The regular
police arrest of Tibetan protestors in Kathmandu was condemned
by European Union and the US. Their statement urged Nepal "to
ensure the humane treatment of peaceful protesters."
During Prime Minister Dahal's visit to China on August 23 to
attend Beijing Olympics and meeting with Chinese President Hu
Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao, greater connectivity between
the two countries to promote trade, investment and tourism was
stressed. On September 23 during Defense Minister R. B. Thapa's
visit the Chinese government said, "They will not tolerate
any foreign intervention in Nepal," expressed anxiety about
the events taking place in Tarai, asked the Nepalese leaders
to take independent decisions and offered a military aid of
$1.3m. But, the Indian irritation increased when he and Minister
for Information and Communication K.B. Mahara visited Tibet
in October to watch the parade of the Chinese People's Liberation
Army(PLA). On November 20, Home Minister formally sought the
Chinese support to solve the border dispute in the Kalapani
area to a Chinese high-level PLA delegation led by Major-duo,
Jan Win and Wang Sun. Kalapnai, a tri-junction of Nepal, India
and China, comprising 37,840 hectares of Nepali lands, is currently
being occupied by India.
On April 15 the US stated that it will observe the behavior
of Maoist-led government before withdrawing terrorist tag on
them. On May 24 the US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for
South and Central Asian Affairs Evan A. Feigenbaum arrived in
Nepal for a political consultation with major parties. The British
Foreign Minister for Africa, Asia and the United Nations, Lord
Malloch-Brown, Minister for International Development Shahid
Malik and Minister for International Development Mike Foster
discussed about Nepal's political development. The UK army Chief
Richard Dannat expressed willingness to support Nepal's security
reforms.
In April the five-member German parliamentary delegation led
by Thilo Hoppe, chairman of German parliament's Committee on
Economic Cooperation and Development, assured to continue Germany's
development assistance to Nepal. Erich Stather, Secretary of
State, Federal Ministry of Economic Cooperation and Development,
expressed "2008 is a very special year because the two
countries are celebrating the 50th anniversary of diplomatic
relation."
Norwegian Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg, Deputy Minister
for International Development H. A. Gulbrandsen and Minister
for Environment and International Development Erik Solheim while
visiting Nepal pledged to continue their country's support in
energy, education and good governance. On October 31, the visiting
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon pledged the UN's continuing
support for the consolidation of peace and reforms.
Abbreviations
| ADB |
Asian Development Bank |
| CA |
Constituent Assembly |
| CPA |
Comprehensive Peace Agreement |
| CPN (Maoist) |
Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) led by Puspa
Kamal Dahal |
| CPN-UML |
Communist Party of Nepal Unified Marxist Leninist
led by Jhal N. Khanal |
| MJAF |
Madhesi Jana Adhikar Forum led by Upendra
Yadav |
| NC |
Nepali Congress led by G. P. Koirala |
| RJP |
Rastriya Janashakti Party led by Soorya B.
Thapa |
| RPP |
Rastriya Prajatantra Party led by P. S. Rana |
| RPP |
Nepal Rastriya Prajatantra Party led by Kamal
Thapa |
| SAARC |
South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation
based in Kathmandu |
| SC |
Supreme Court |
| TMLP |
Tarai Madhesh Loktantrik Party led by Mahanta
Thakur |
| UNMIN |
United Nations Mission in Nepal headed by
Ian Martin |
| YCL |
Young Communist League affiliated to CPN (Maoist) |
| M |
Million |
| B |
Billion |
| $ |
US $ |
Cabinet List
| Pushpa Kamal Dahal |
Prime Minister, Ministry for Women, Children
and Social Welfare (CPN-Maoist) and Land Reform and Management |
| Bamdev Gautam |
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Home
Affairs (CPN-UML) |
| Dr. Baburam Bhattarai |
Finance (CPN-Maoist) |
| Upendra Yadav |
Foreign Affairs (MJAF) |
| Ram Bahadur Thapa (Badal) |
Defence - (CPN-Maoist) |
| Bijaya Kumar Gachhedar |
Physical Planning and Works (MJAF) |
| Bishnu Paudel |
Water Resources (CPN-UML) |
| Krishna Bahadur Mahara |
Information and Communications (CPN-Maoist) |
| Jay Prakash Prasad Gupta |
Agriculture and Cooperative (MJAF) |
| Asta Laxmi Shakya |
Industry (CPN-UML) |
| Dev Prasad Gurung |
Law, Justice and Constituent Assembly
(CPN-Maoist) |
| Rajendra Mahato |
Commerce and Supplies (Sadbhawana
Party) |
| Gopal Shakya |
Youth and Sports (CPN-UML) |
| Renu Kumari Yadav |
Education (MJAF) |
| Pampha Bhusal |
General Administration (CPN-Maoist) |
| Hisila Yami |
Tourism and Civil Aviation (CPN-Maoist) |
| Giri Raj Mani Pokharel |
Health and Population (Janamorcha
Nepal) |
| Kiran Gurung |
Forest Soil Conservation (CPN-UML) |
| Janardan Sharma |
Peace and Reconstruction (CPN-Maoist) |
| Gopal Kirati |
Culture and State Restructuring
(CPN-Maoist) |
| Ram Chandra Jha |
Local Development (CPN-UML) |
| Lekh Raj Bhatta |
Labour and Transportation (CPN-Maoist) |
| Ganesh Shah |
Environment, Science and Technology
(CPN-United) |
|